Politics
4 OutcomesTrending1000x

Test: Who becomes the next CBN Governor?

Prediction event for who will be appointed as the next Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria.

Volume

41,000

Traders

3,200

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

Source

Federal Government Gazette

BLBlucera
Cardoso (reappointed)Leading
35%
New banker appointee
28%
Academic appointment
22%
Other
15%
Cardoso (reappointed)35%
New banker appointee28%
Academic appointment22%
Other15%

Comments

12
YO

Tip: Share your position to add credibility to your analysis

CA
Test: ChiefAnalystYes @ 0.622h ago

The momentum on this market is strong. I've been following the fundamentals closely and the current price doesn't fully reflect the probability. Expect a move toward 80% within the next 2 weeks.

+43
TO
Test: TraderOG1h ago

Agreed. The order book depth at 65c is thin -- any large buy order will push through quickly.

+11
CV
Test: ContraryViewNo @ 0.3545m ago

I think you're overestimating the conviction here. The 7-day chart shows resistance at 72%. There's strong selling pressure there.

+3
QT
Test: QuantTrader9Yes @ 0.546h ago

Running my model on this: based on historical resolution patterns for this category, fair value sits around 68%. Current price of 67% represents a ~9% edge if my assumptions are correct. Sizing accordingly with 25x leverage.

+41
DD
Test: DataDriven_NG1d ago

Looking at the volume profile: 73% of volume in the last 24h has been on the Yes side. The order book is also skewed 2:1 in favor of Yes. Smart money is clearly positioned here.

+25
LW
Test: LagosWhaleYes @ 0.584h ago

Just added a significant position here. The information asymmetry is massive -- most retail participants haven't priced in the latest regulatory developments. This is free money at current levels.

+16
SN
Test: Skeptic_NG3h ago

"Free money" -- that's what people said about Dangote at cNaira 350 too. Always DYOR.

+16
BL
Sponsored by

Blucera

Building the future of digital commerce

Blucera is a cutting-edge digital solutions company specializing in e-commerce, fintech, and enterprise software solutions for businesses across Africa.

Credit Pool16K
Sponsor Stats
Purchased100K
Remaining25K
Events6
Currency
View all sponsored events|Digital Commerce
Reward Pool
3 rewards
1st
Finance Fellowshipscholarship

6-month paid fellowship at a top Nigerian financial institution

2nd
FT Subscriptioncustom

1-year Financial Times premium digital subscription

3rd
Economic Forum Passcustom

VIP pass to the Nigerian Economic Summit